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Kevin Lee

Professor of Economics, Faculty of Social Sciences

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Biography

Kevin joined the School as Professor of Economics in 2011 and was Head of School 2012-18. Prior to joining Nottingham, he was a Fellow of Queens' College and Senior Research Officer of the Department of Applied Economics at the University of Cambridge and then Professor of Economics at the University of Leicester. He is a Research Fellow of both the Centre for Finance, Credit and Macroeconomics (CFCM) and the .

A full biography and access to data and publications are available from his . Kevin's complete CV can be downloaded in pdf format.

Research Summary

Kevin Lee's research interests are primarily in the econometric analysis of macroeconomic performance, business cycles, the determination of inflation and the operation of the labour market. He has a… read more

Selected Publications

  • LEE, K.C. and M. MAHONY, 2024. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A. qnae064
  • JANKE, K., K. C. LEE, C. PROPPER and K. SHIELDS, 2023. ournal of Economic Behavior and Organization. 214, 801-828
  • LEE, K.C., MORLEY, J. and SHIELDS, K., 2015. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking. 47(1), 73-98
  • GARRATT, A., LEE, K.C., PESARAN, M.H. and SHIN, Y., 2012. Global and National Macroeconometric Modelling: A Long-Run Structural Approach Second Edition. Oxford University Press.

A full biography and access to data and publications are available from my .

Current Research

Kevin Lee's research interests are primarily in the econometric analysis of macroeconomic performance, business cycles, the determination of inflation and the operation of the labour market. He has a particular interest in investigating the use of models in decision-making and forecasting, including the use of real-time and survey data. His research often focuses on the role of interdependencies in applied economics, including work on cross-country interactions in global systems and sectoral and individual (industry/region/sex/age) interactions in national systems.

Recent research projects include:

  • The analysis of macroeconometric models and their use of data in real time on the project , sponsored by various sources;
  • The construction and use of a real-time database for Australia on the project , sponsored by the Australian Research Council;
  • The development of a simple model of the UK economy on the project , sponsored under an ESRC Programme in Macroeconomic Modelling;
  • The analysis of actual and expected output growth in industries across the EU on the project , sponsored by the European Commission.
  • The development and application of techniques for the analysis of non-linear dynamic models on an ESRC-sponsored project on the .
  • The development of econometric methods for use in the analysis of `data fields' on the project , sponsored under an ESRC Initiative in the Analysis of Large and Complex Datasets (ALCD);
  • , (), sponsored by the ESRC;
  • The development of a theoretical framework suitable for the econometric analysis of disaggregated models including expectational variables on an ESRC-sponsored project on ;
  • LEE, K.C. and K. SHIELDS, 2024. Macroeconomic Dynamics. 29, e43
  • LEE, K.C. and M. MAHONY, 2024. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A. qnae064
  • JANKE, K., K. C. LEE, C. PROPPER and K. SHIELDS, 2023. ournal of Economic Behavior and Organization. 214, 801-828
  • ARISTIDOU, C., K.C. LEE and K. SHIELDS, 2022. A Meta Model Analysis of Exchange Rate Determination. In: CHUDIK, A., HSIAO, C. and TIMMERMANN, A., eds., Essays in Honor of M. Hashem Pesaran: Prediction and Macro Modelling: (Advances in Econometrics) 43A. Emerald Publishing Limited. 199-215
  • ARISTIDOU, C., K.C. LEE and K. SHIELDS, 2022. Journal of International Money and Finance. (In Press.)
  • LEE, K.C., MORLEY, J., SHIELDS, K. and TAN, M. S-L., 2020. Economic Record. 96, 87-106
  • LEE, K.C., ONG, K. and SHIELDS, K., 2020. Economic Record.
  • ARISTIDOU, C., LEE, K.C. and SHIELDS, K., 2019. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society (Series A). 182(1), 131-163
  • GARRATT, A., LEE, K.C. and SHIELDS, K., 2018. Canadian Journal of Economics. 51(2), 391-418
  • GARRATT, A., LEE, K.C. and SHIELDS, K., 2016. International Journal of Forecasting. 32(2), 374-390
  • GARRATT, A., LEE, K.C. and SHIELDS, K., 2016. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control. 70, 1-17
  • LEE, K.C., MORLEY, J. and SHIELDS, K., 2015. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking. 47(1), 73-98
  • COSTANTINI, M., DEMETRIADES, P.O., JAMES, G.A. and LEE, K.C., 2013. Economic Inquiry. 51(1), 248-259
  • ANTONINI, M., LEE, K.C. and PIRES, J., 2013. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking. 45(2-3), 277-298
  • LEE, K.C., OLEKALNS, N. and SHIELDS, K., 2013. Manchester School. 81(S3), 28-53
  • FIELDING, D., LEE, K.C. and SHIELDS, K., 2012. Economic Change and Restructuring. 45, 45-70
  • LEE, K.C., N. OLEKALNS, K. SHIELDS and Z. WANG, 2012. The Australian Real-Time Database: An Overview and an Illustration of its Use in Business Cycle Analysis Economic Record. 88(283), 495-516
  • GARRATT, A., LEE, K.C., PESARAN, M.H. and SHIN, Y., 2012. Global and National Macroeconometric Modelling: A Long-Run Structural Approach Second Edition. Oxford University Press.
  • LEE, K.C. and SHIELDS, K., 2011. North American Journal of Economics and Finance. 22, 43-60
  • GARRATT, A. and LEE, K., 2010. Journal of International Money and Finance. 29(3), 403-422
  • GARRATT, A., LEE, K.C., MISE, E. and SHIELDS, K., 2009. International Journal of Forecasting. 25, 81-102
  • GARRATT, A., LEE, K.C. and VAHEY, S., 2008. Real Time Probability Forecasts of UK Macro Events National Institute Economic Review. 203, 78-90
  • GARRATT, A., LEE, K.C., MISE, E. and SHIELDS, K., 2008. Review of Economics and Statistics. 90(4), 792-804
  • LEE, K.C. and SHIELDS, K., 2007. Economic Record. 83, 303-316
  • GARRATT, A., LEE, K.C., PESARAN, M.H. and SHIN, Y., 2006. Global and National Macroeconometric Modelling: A Long-Run Structural Approach First Edition. Oxford University Press.
  • FIELDING, D., LEE, K.C. and SHIELDS, K., 2004. Journal of African Economies. 13, 488-517
  • GLEN, J., LEE, K.C. and SINGH, A., 2003. Economic Journal. 113(491), 465-484
  • GARRATT, A., LEE, K.C., PESARAN, M.H. and SHIN, Y., 2003. Economic Journal. 113(487), 412-455
  • GARRATT, A., LEE, K.C., PESARAN, M.H. and SHIN, Y., 2003. Forecast Uncertainty in Macroeconometric Modelling: An Application to the UK Economy Journal of the American Statistical Association. 98(464), 829-838
  • GLEN, J., LEE, K.C. and SINGH, A., 2001. Persistence of Profitability and Competition in Emerging Markets Economic Letters. 72(2), 247-253
  • LEE, K.C. and SHIELDS, K., 2000. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics. 62(4), 463-490
  • VAN GARDEREN, K.J., LEE, K.C. and PESARAN, M.H., 2000. Journal of Econometrics. 95, 285-331
  • LEE, K.C. and SHIELDS, K., 2000. Manchester School. 68, 75-91

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